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Pay What You Want Advice - Start / Sit - Trade - Waivers

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2009 Pros vs Joes Draft Analysis

I decided to take the average draft position of the 260 players that were drafted in all 6 leagues and see which team had the best value for their picks. If you picked a player later than their average draft position from all 6 leagues, you got good value and if you picked him earlier then you got bad value.

There was a lot of math involved which isn't worth explaining but to give you an example, picking a player in the 3rd round, 6 spots before his average draft position was worth about the same as picking a player 24 spots before his average draft position in the 15th round. I made sure that there were almost as many good value picks in later rounds than in early rounds.

All the picks were given a score based on which category they fell in:
Great value: 3 pts
Good value: 2 pts
Average value: 1 pt
Mediocre value: 0 pts
Bad value: -1 pt
Undrafted in any league: -1 pt

Here are some stats about the meaning of this analysis:

Correlation between Score and FPTS = 0.25
 

Score Avg Fpts Avg Rank
18 and over 2514.4 33.2
17 and under 2461.8 40.0

 

Finishing Rank Avg Score
Top 24 19.3
25 to 48 19.0
49 to 72 13.4


Here are the overall scores:

Rank Finishing Position League Rank Draft Spot Rank Team League Draft Spot Score FPTS
1 19 1 1 Rex Kwon Do  2 1 40 2610.75
2 2 1 1 AzRich  3 2 34 2759.8
2 50 1 1 Coltsfan  6 7 34 2407.05
4 25 1 1 Steeltown D  4 5 33 2565.1
5 5 1 1 Sandman's Time  5 8 32 2724
6 28 1 2 Just Russ  1 8 30 2533.4
7 15 2 1 Footballguys  2 6 29 2632.35
8 38 2 1 Fantasy Mojo  4 12 28 2488.95
9 36 2 2 Chef Paul  5 12 27 2498.15
9 30 2 1 RotoExperts  1 11 27 2507.35
11 14 2 1 Bald if Beautiful  6 3 26 2641.35
11 65 2 1 Bruno Boys  3 9 26 2257.05
11 11 3 2 Red vs Blue Sports Talk Radio  3 11 26 2668.35
14 52 3 2 FantasyTailgate  4 6 25 2400.2
14 22 3 3 Fish  2 11 25 2596.9
16 41 3 3 Fantasy Hulks  6 8 24 2477.7
16 66 3 2 Fantasy Pros 911  1 9 24 2252.85
16 12 4 1 Team Thompson  1 4 24 2651.95
16 63 3 2 The Amish Brothers of Lancaster  5 4 24 2281.15
16 55 4 2 TNT  5 2 24 2371.9
21 47 5 2 The Fantasy Consultant  1 3 23 2430.75
22 7 4 3 Billy Waz  3 12 22 2704.2
22 59 4 3 Fantasy Football Trader  4 4 22 2348.4
22 20 5 3 Fighting Chance Fantasy  5 3 22 2609.35
22 43 4 2 Shifty50  6 1 22 2457.15
22 18 4 3 Syracuse Slappers  2 9 22 2626.35
27 27 5 4 Day Drinker Josh  2 3 21 2548.1
27 48 6 2 Invictus  2 5 21 2420.1
27 35 6 4 sportsbettingman  1 12 21 2498.2
27 17 5 3 Yellow Line is Unofficial  4 1 21 2628.05
31 39 5 4 Azzurri  6 11 20 2484.6
31 64 6 5 FFGuidebook.com  6 12 20 2280.8
31 29 5 1 Hicksville  3 10 20 2532.35
34 16 6 2 KO Kid  4 7 19 2628.45
35 1 7 5 Baker Boy  4 11 18 2824.85
35 68 6 3 Fantasy Guru  5 5 18 2224.45
35 42 6 4 menobrown  3 4 18 2461
38 10 7 3 Dynasty Rogues  1 7 17 2678.25
38 13 7 6 Fantasy Football Xtreme  5 11 17 2648.25
40 21 8 3 Badabingers  1 2 16 2603.9
40 4 7 2 Fantasy Football Calculator  6 10 16 2739.7
40 32 8 3 radballs  5 6 16 2506.1
43 57 8 4 Angry Zygotes  6 9 15 2365.15
43 46 8 4 FantasyFootballWhiz  4 2 15 2437.85
43 54 9 4 MVN.com  6 6 15 2384.2
46 45 9 4 BFD Fantasy Football  1 1 14 2445.65
46 23 7 4 Monkeyville  2 7 14 2593.25
46 40 10 4 NoOffseason  1 5 14 2479.95
46 37 11 3 RC Techies  1 10 14 2496.6
50 26 7 5 Peacemaker  3 6 13 2549.1
50 72 8 5 The Football Expert  2 2 13 2150.55
52 44 9 4 FantasySharks  2 8 12 2450.5
52 24 9 5 Novacane  4 9 12 2585.8
52 60 8 5 Ultimate FF Strategy  3 1 12 2347.85
55 8 10 5 Fantasy Oasis  4 8 11 2693.25
56 33 9 6 Fantasy Football In Depth  5 9 10 2502.6
57 49 9 6 4D  3 8 8 2414.55
57 70 10 4 Fantasy Football Sherpa  2 10 8 2170.6
57 51 10 5 Rotopicks  3 3 8 2401.25
57 31 10 5 Zeus  6 5 8 2506.15
61 69 11 5 Junkyard Jake  3 7 7 2217
61 67 11 5 Rapid Draft  4 10 7 2233.1
61 53 11 5 WestSportsReport  2 4 7 2395.15
64 56 10 6 Fantasy Football Nerd  5 7 5 2368.05
65 34 12 6 Draft Sharks  2 12 4 2500.4
66 58 11 6 Pigskin Addiction  6 2 3 2352.7
67 62 12 6 Dreadnaught  4 3 2 2301.85
68 3 11 6 Lester's Legend  5 1 1 2754
68 6 12 6 Mock Draft Central  6 4 1 2723.2
70 71 12 6 DaveTerp  1 6 0 2154.95
71 9 12 6 Football Diehards  3 5 -2 2687.1
72 61 12 6 KOTRAX  5 10 -5 2322.9