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2009 Pros vs
Joes Draft Analysis
I decided to take the average draft position of the 260
players that were drafted in all 6 leagues and see which team had the best value
for their picks. If you picked a player later than their average draft position
from all 6 leagues, you got good value and if you picked him earlier then you
got bad value.
There was a lot of math involved which isn't worth
explaining but to give you an example, picking a player in the 3rd round, 6
spots before his average draft position was worth about the same as picking a
player 24 spots before his average draft position in the 15th round. I made sure
that there were almost as many good value picks in later rounds than in early
rounds.
All the picks were given a score based on which category
they fell in:
Great value: 3 pts
Good value: 2 pts
Average value: 1 pt
Mediocre value: 0 pts
Bad value: -1 pt
Undrafted in any league: -1 pt
Here are some stats about the meaning of
this analysis:
Correlation between Score and FPTS = 0.25
|
Score |
Avg Fpts |
Avg Rank |
|
18 and over |
2514.4 |
33.2 |
|
17 and under |
2461.8 |
40.0 |
|
Finishing Rank |
Avg Score |
|
Top 24 |
19.3 |
|
25 to 48 |
19.0 |
|
49 to 72 |
13.4 |
Here are the overall scores:
|
Rank |
Finishing Position |
League Rank |
Draft Spot Rank |
Team |
League |
Draft Spot |
Score |
FPTS |
|
1 |
19 |
1 |
1 |
Rex Kwon Do |
2 |
1 |
40 |
2610.75 |
|
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
AzRich |
3 |
2 |
34 |
2759.8 |
|
2 |
50 |
1 |
1 |
Coltsfan |
6 |
7 |
34 |
2407.05 |
|
4 |
25 |
1 |
1 |
Steeltown D |
4 |
5 |
33 |
2565.1 |
|
5 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
Sandman's Time |
5 |
8 |
32 |
2724 |
|
6 |
28 |
1 |
2 |
Just Russ |
1 |
8 |
30 |
2533.4 |
|
7 |
15 |
2 |
1 |
Footballguys |
2 |
6 |
29 |
2632.35 |
|
8 |
38 |
2 |
1 |
Fantasy Mojo |
4 |
12 |
28 |
2488.95 |
|
9 |
36 |
2 |
2 |
Chef Paul |
5 |
12 |
27 |
2498.15 |
|
9 |
30 |
2 |
1 |
RotoExperts |
1 |
11 |
27 |
2507.35 |
|
11 |
14 |
2 |
1 |
Bald if Beautiful |
6 |
3 |
26 |
2641.35 |
|
11 |
65 |
2 |
1 |
Bruno Boys |
3 |
9 |
26 |
2257.05 |
|
11 |
11 |
3 |
2 |
Red vs Blue Sports Talk Radio |
3 |
11 |
26 |
2668.35 |
|
14 |
52 |
3 |
2 |
FantasyTailgate |
4 |
6 |
25 |
2400.2 |
|
14 |
22 |
3 |
3 |
Fish |
2 |
11 |
25 |
2596.9 |
|
16 |
41 |
3 |
3 |
Fantasy Hulks |
6 |
8 |
24 |
2477.7 |
|
16 |
66 |
3 |
2 |
Fantasy Pros 911 |
1 |
9 |
24 |
2252.85 |
|
16 |
12 |
4 |
1 |
Team Thompson |
1 |
4 |
24 |
2651.95 |
|
16 |
63 |
3 |
2 |
The Amish Brothers of Lancaster |
5 |
4 |
24 |
2281.15 |
|
16 |
55 |
4 |
2 |
TNT |
5 |
2 |
24 |
2371.9 |
|
21 |
47 |
5 |
2 |
The Fantasy Consultant |
1 |
3 |
23 |
2430.75 |
|
22 |
7 |
4 |
3 |
Billy Waz |
3 |
12 |
22 |
2704.2 |
|
22 |
59 |
4 |
3 |
Fantasy Football Trader |
4 |
4 |
22 |
2348.4 |
|
22 |
20 |
5 |
3 |
Fighting Chance Fantasy |
5 |
3 |
22 |
2609.35 |
|
22 |
43 |
4 |
2 |
Shifty50 |
6 |
1 |
22 |
2457.15 |
|
22 |
18 |
4 |
3 |
Syracuse Slappers |
2 |
9 |
22 |
2626.35 |
|
27 |
27 |
5 |
4 |
Day Drinker Josh |
2 |
3 |
21 |
2548.1 |
|
27 |
48 |
6 |
2 |
Invictus |
2 |
5 |
21 |
2420.1 |
|
27 |
35 |
6 |
4 |
sportsbettingman |
1 |
12 |
21 |
2498.2 |
|
27 |
17 |
5 |
3 |
Yellow Line is Unofficial |
4 |
1 |
21 |
2628.05 |
|
31 |
39 |
5 |
4 |
Azzurri |
6 |
11 |
20 |
2484.6 |
|
31 |
64 |
6 |
5 |
FFGuidebook.com |
6 |
12 |
20 |
2280.8 |
|
31 |
29 |
5 |
1 |
Hicksville |
3 |
10 |
20 |
2532.35 |
|
34 |
16 |
6 |
2 |
KO Kid |
4 |
7 |
19 |
2628.45 |
|
35 |
1 |
7 |
5 |
Baker Boy |
4 |
11 |
18 |
2824.85 |
|
35 |
68 |
6 |
3 |
Fantasy Guru |
5 |
5 |
18 |
2224.45 |
|
35 |
42 |
6 |
4 |
menobrown |
3 |
4 |
18 |
2461 |
|
38 |
10 |
7 |
3 |
Dynasty Rogues |
1 |
7 |
17 |
2678.25 |
|
38 |
13 |
7 |
6 |
Fantasy Football Xtreme |
5 |
11 |
17 |
2648.25 |
|
40 |
21 |
8 |
3 |
Badabingers |
1 |
2 |
16 |
2603.9 |
|
40 |
4 |
7 |
2 |
Fantasy Football Calculator |
6 |
10 |
16 |
2739.7 |
|
40 |
32 |
8 |
3 |
radballs |
5 |
6 |
16 |
2506.1 |
|
43 |
57 |
8 |
4 |
Angry Zygotes |
6 |
9 |
15 |
2365.15 |
|
43 |
46 |
8 |
4 |
FantasyFootballWhiz |
4 |
2 |
15 |
2437.85 |
|
43 |
54 |
9 |
4 |
MVN.com |
6 |
6 |
15 |
2384.2 |
|
46 |
45 |
9 |
4 |
BFD Fantasy Football |
1 |
1 |
14 |
2445.65 |
|
46 |
23 |
7 |
4 |
Monkeyville |
2 |
7 |
14 |
2593.25 |
|
46 |
40 |
10 |
4 |
NoOffseason |
1 |
5 |
14 |
2479.95 |
|
46 |
37 |
11 |
3 |
RC Techies |
1 |
10 |
14 |
2496.6 |
|
50 |
26 |
7 |
5 |
Peacemaker |
3 |
6 |
13 |
2549.1 |
|
50 |
72 |
8 |
5 |
The Football Expert |
2 |
2 |
13 |
2150.55 |
|
52 |
44 |
9 |
4 |
FantasySharks |
2 |
8 |
12 |
2450.5 |
|
52 |
24 |
9 |
5 |
Novacane |
4 |
9 |
12 |
2585.8 |
|
52 |
60 |
8 |
5 |
Ultimate FF Strategy |
3 |
1 |
12 |
2347.85 |
|
55 |
8 |
10 |
5 |
Fantasy Oasis |
4 |
8 |
11 |
2693.25 |
|
56 |
33 |
9 |
6 |
Fantasy Football In Depth |
5 |
9 |
10 |
2502.6 |
|
57 |
49 |
9 |
6 |
4D |
3 |
8 |
8 |
2414.55 |
|
57 |
70 |
10 |
4 |
Fantasy Football Sherpa |
2 |
10 |
8 |
2170.6 |
|
57 |
51 |
10 |
5 |
Rotopicks |
3 |
3 |
8 |
2401.25 |
|
57 |
31 |
10 |
5 |
Zeus |
6 |
5 |
8 |
2506.15 |
|
61 |
69 |
11 |
5 |
Junkyard Jake |
3 |
7 |
7 |
2217 |
|
61 |
67 |
11 |
5 |
Rapid Draft |
4 |
10 |
7 |
2233.1 |
|
61 |
53 |
11 |
5 |
WestSportsReport |
2 |
4 |
7 |
2395.15 |
|
64 |
56 |
10 |
6 |
Fantasy Football Nerd |
5 |
7 |
5 |
2368.05 |
|
65 |
34 |
12 |
6 |
Draft Sharks |
2 |
12 |
4 |
2500.4 |
|
66 |
58 |
11 |
6 |
Pigskin Addiction |
6 |
2 |
3 |
2352.7 |
|
67 |
62 |
12 |
6 |
Dreadnaught |
4 |
3 |
2 |
2301.85 |
|
68 |
3 |
11 |
6 |
Lester's Legend |
5 |
1 |
1 |
2754 |
|
68 |
6 |
12 |
6 |
Mock Draft Central |
6 |
4 |
1 |
2723.2 |
|
70 |
71 |
12 |
6 |
DaveTerp |
1 |
6 |
0 |
2154.95 |
|
71 |
9 |
12 |
6 |
Football Diehards |
3 |
5 |
-2 |
2687.1 |
|
72 |
61 |
12 |
6 |
KOTRAX |
5 |
10 |
-5 |
2322.9 |
|