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Impact of New Head Coaches and New Offensive Coordinators
(page 2)

Here are the same numbers for teams that had less than 250 running fantasy points and those that had more than 250 running fantasy points:

Less than 250 running fantasy points in previous year:

 

Nb

Pass FPTS

Next Pass FPTS

% Change

Same HC and Same OC

32

210.2

251.7

19.8%

Same HC and New OC

19

213.3

253.5

18.9%

New HC and New OC

22

209.2

251.8

20.4%

More than 250 running fantasy points in previous year:

 

Nb

Pass FPTS

Next Pass FPTS

% Change

Same HC and Same OC

62

305.3

282.6

-7.4%

Same HC and New OC

16

296.1

236.0

-20.3%

New HC and New OC

9

323.0

270.9

-16.1%

When it comes to the running game, teams that had less than 250 running fantasy points in the previous year all show similar improvement. When we look at teams that had more than 250 running fantasy points, we notice that those that bring back the same coaching staff seem to have the most success in the following year.

To summarize this article, the one thing that you need to know is that teams that bring back the same head coach and same offensive coordinator have an advantage in two situations:

-They had less than 225 passing fantasy points in the previous year
-They had more than 250 running fantasy points in the previous year.

Last season, there were 15 teams that had less than 225 passing fantasy points and if history holds true, the Falcons, Bears, Vikings, Jaguars, Panthers, Redskins, Bills, Ravens, Titans and Bengals should show more improvement than the Lions, Seahawks, Rams, Raiders and Browns in the passing game.  In terms of the running game, teams like the Jets and Broncos who were amongst the best last year could struggle this year with a new head coach. In conclusion, at times there might be a lot of hype about new head coaches but when it comes to fantasy football, you will want to be careful when drafting players from those teams.