Ultimate Fantasy Football Strategy - ADP Analysis

ADP Analysis - Wide Receivers

Wide receivers are starting to get more and more respect on draft day and many owners are drafting them in the second round instead of drafting their second running back. I have been against this strategy for quite awhile since I believe that WR production is simply too hard to predict. However, 2007 was the year of WRs with Randy Moss and Terrell Owens dominating the position so it will be very interesting to see when owners decide to draft them this season. In the past few years, many leagues have been shifting towards a more WR friendly scoring system that gives one point for every reception (PPR) and starting three WRs instead of two. Do those changes really make WRs more valuable or are defenses simply getting too good and are now able to stop any WR by focusing on him? I have once again added another column in the chart to see the difference between PPR and non-PPR leagues:

POS	ADP AVG	PTS AVG	PPR PTS AVG	POS	ADP AVG	PTS AVG	PPR PTS AVG
1	11	173	249	25	71	135	204
2	14	162	239	26	73	97	145
3	16	162	238	27	78	119	175
4	19	182	266	28	80	105	160
5	23	177	267	29	82	138	204
6	26	130	198	30	86	130	194
7	28	129	195	31	90	92	135
8	29	159	248	32	93	116	181
9	32	142	221	33	95	89	138
10	34	137	210	34	99	60	100
11	36	94	142	35	103	65	102
12	38	102	163	36	106	96	144
13	39	150	224	37	111	109	166
14	42	131	198	38	114	77	112
15	45	150	215	39	118	137	200
16	47	117	184	40	122	120	180
17	50	172	256	41	125	71	113
18	52	125	188	42	128	59	91
19	56	125	186	43	130	107	158
20	58	121	185	44	134	74	115
21	60	116	185	45	137	90	138
22	62	97	143	46	140	80	125
23	63	119	183	47	142	104	163
24	68	105	163	48	144	88	135

I have once again put these in groups of four in order to notice a trend:

POS	ADP AVG	PTS AVG	PPR PTS AVG
1 to 4	15	170	248
5 to 8	27	149	227
9 to 12	35	119	184
13 to 16	43	137