Ultimate Fantasy Football Strategy - ADP Analysis

ADP Analysis - Tight Ends

In the past years, tight ends usually were not drafted until much later in drafts but in 2007 there were four TEs who would have been ranked in the top 20 WRs which is very abnormal and had not been seen in past years. Managers usually wait until much later in the draft to select their TE because they just don’t score enough points but it will be interesting to see how they react this year. Although TEs still earn much less points than WRs, there are a few dominant TEs that could be worth drafting quite early because they dominate the position. Let’s take a look at the charts:

POS	ADP AVG	PTS AVG	PPR PTS AVG
1	33	127	202
2	49	124	195
3	61	100	163
4	67	63	102
5	74	104	156
6	79	105	168
7	88	97	153
8	100	77	124
9	109	87	141
10	116	91	147
11	130	66	99
12	134	44	79
13	144	57	91
14	149	67	103
15	163	53	85
16	171	53	85
17	180	48	80
18	193	31	58
19	198	45	78
20	207	47	78
21	211	38	62
22	219	38	65
23	229	34	59
24	237	39	66

POS	ADP AVG	PTS AVG	PPR PTS AVG
1 to 4	52	104	165
5 to 8	85	95	150
9 to 12	122	72	116
13 to 16	157	57	91
17 to 20	195	43	74
21 to 24	224	37	63

I think it’s pretty clear that there is a group of around ten TEs depending on the year that are much better than the rest. In the past few years Antonio Gates was the only TE drafted in the first three rounds of a draft but things are likely to change in 2008. I don’t believe there is any TE that is dominant anymore like Antonio Gates had been for the past three seasons. The top two TEs earn on average 36 more points than the 3^rd-10^th group in a non-PPR league and 54 more points in a PPR league but get drafted almost four rounds earlier on average. If one of the top three right ends are available in the fourth or fifth round they could definitely be a good pick but waiting until rounds seven to nine to draft one you like is not a bad strategy either. Let’s continue with team defenses and kickers before making an overall analysis and determining which of the two strategies is better for the tight end position.

Wide Receivers

Kickers and Defenses