ADP Analysis - Tight Ends
In the past years, tight
ends usually were not drafted until much later in drafts but in
2008, Tony Gonzalez would have been a top 10 WR. Managers usually
wait until much later in the draft to select their TE because they
just don’t score enough points but things have changed in the past
few seasons. Although TEs still earn much fewer points than WRs,
there are a few TEs that could be worth drafting quite early because
they dominate the position. For tight ends, the minimums used were
45 points for non-PPR and 75 for PPR. Let’s take a look at the
charts:
|
POS |
ADP AVG |
PTS AVG (Non-PPR) |
PTS AVG (PPR) |
|
1 |
34 |
140 |
220 |
|
2 |
48 |
109 |
174 |
|
3 |
59 |
94 |
153 |
|
4 |
67 |
82 |
132 |
|
5 |
73 |
123 |
186 |
|
6 |
80 |
93 |
156 |
|
7 |
87 |
89 |
144 |
|
8 |
102 |
105 |
168 |
|
9 |
113 |
78 |
128 |
|
10 |
117 |
67 |
111 |
|
11 |
128 |
68 |
107 |
|
12 |
137 |
80 |
125 |
|
13 |
146 |
66 |
102 |
|
14 |
154 |
62 |
99 |
|
15 |
160 |
75 |
121 |
|
16 |
174 |
60 |
98 |
|
17 |
182 |
52 |
87 |
|
18 |
189 |
65 |
103 |
|
19 |
197 |
58 |
91 |
|
20 |
204 |
59 |
97 |
|
21 |
211 |
86 |
124 |
|
22 |
219 |
53 |
88 |
|
23 |
229 |
56 |
97 |
|
24 |
241 |
47 |
78 |
|
POS |
ADP AVG |
PTS AVG (Non-PPR) |
PTS AVG (PPR) |
|
1 to 4 |
52 |
106 |
170 |
|
5 to 8 |
85 |
103 |
164 |
|
9 to 12 |
124 |
73 |
118 |
|
13 to 16 |
158 |
66 |
105 |
|
17 to 20 |
193 |
59 |
95 |
|
21 to 24 |
225 |
60 |
97 |
I think it’s pretty clear
that there is a group of around eight TEs (depending on the year)
that are much better than the rest. The top TE earns on average 41
more points than the 2nd-8th group in a non-PPR
league and 61 more points in a PPR league but gets drafted more than
three rounds earlier on average. If one of the few top tight ends
are available in the third or fourth they could definitely be a good
pick but waiting until rounds seven to nine to draft one you like is
not a bad strategy either. Let’s continue with team defenses and
kickers before making an overall analysis.
|