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Team by Team Projections - Week 9

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .CHI 20.2 25.2 45.5 5.8 4.9 9.1
ATL WAS 15.9 22.7 27.6 11.7 6.6 16.9
BAL .CIN 22.4 34.6 33.0 13.2 3.8 9.2
BUF   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CAR .NOS 7.8 28.4 21.4 10.7 5.9 6.8
CHI ARI 18.4 18.7 34.5 15.1 5.9 12.7
CIN BAL 21.5 25.0 39.1 5.5 5.7 9.2
CLE   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
DAL .PHI 21.6 21.6 32.7 21.0 6.9 8.0
DEN PIT 17.7 20.3 32.9 13.7 5.8 17.6
DET .SEA 16.1 21.4 32.7 9.4 5.6 8.3
GBP .TBB 27.8 21.5 35.8 18.5 8.4 14.7
HOU .IND 18.2 22.5 31.5 16.0 6.4 4.4
IND HOU 23.3 21.6 44.1 19.5 6.4 11.4
JAC KCC 20.9 27.0 34.9 11.0 8.2 8.5
KCC .JAC 17.5 16.2 36.3 6.0 7.6 9.1
MIA .NEP 7.8 29.7 24.4 4.3 4.5 6.4
MIN   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NEP MIA 28.5 25.4 41.9 13.1 10.7 12.4
NOS CAR 22.6 37.4 32.9 13.5 5.8 21.0
NYG SDC 18.4 25.3 37.2 10.7 10.5 9.2
NYJ   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
OAK   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
PHI DAL 25.7 23.1 35.9 14.4 8.7 14.0
PIT .DEN 19.0 21.9 34.6 13.7 8.1 10.6
SDC .NYG 21.9 22.3 27.5 16.2 7.4 9.0
SEA DET 24.1 23.1 35.1 16.0 10.2 13.5
SFO TEN 25.4 25.6 34.0 20.4 7.3 12.8
STL   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TBB GBP 14.0 16.5 17.5 14.6 -2.5 6.8
TEN .SFO 13.1 25.8 25.4 12.1 7.5 5.8
WAS .ATL 19.3 17.4 26.5 19.1 5.2 8.8


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Atlanta QBs (Matt Ryan) to score 2.8 fewer fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .CHI 1.3 -1.5 -0.1 1.6 -2.0 -1.9
ATL WAS -2.8 -4.1 -3.1 -2.1 0.3 5.8
BAL .CIN 2.4 -3.6 0.3 3.1 -3.8 -2.3
BUF BYE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CAR .NOS -3.3 -1.4 1.0 -1.8 0.6 -3.7
CHI ARI -0.8 -0.1 -0.1 0.4 -1.8 1.5
CIN BAL 1.7 1.8 -1.8 -0.5 0.2 -2.7
CLE BYE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
DAL .PHI -0.2 -4.6 -6.4 7.1 -2.6 -3.6
DEN PIT 0.8 -3.6 -0.1 1.7 -2.5 4.0
DET .SEA 1.3 -1.7 9.8 -1.0 -0.9 0.4
GBP .TBB 1.9 0.9 -0.1 1.4 -1.4 2.9
HOU .IND -4.2 -4.0 -4.3 -0.9 -0.4 -5.7
IND HOU -0.7 -4.0 0.2 0.5 -2.0 -1.1
JAC KCC 4.2 0.8 3.8 1.2 1.9 2.9
KCC .JAC 2.3 -0.2 5.0 -0.4 1.0 2.4
MIA .NEP -3.2 -4.6 -1.7 -2.0 -3.7 -4.3
MIN BYE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NEP MIA 3.3 -1.4 -2.2 1.2 1.4 0.0
NOS CAR -2.0 0.1 -5.6 -1.0 -2.8 4.3
NYG SDC -2.0 3.5 -6.2 2.7 0.2 -1.0
NYJ BYE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
OAK BYE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
PHI DAL 2.9 0.1 1.8 -0.1 -1.8 -2.5
PIT .DEN -3.3 -0.6 -4.8 -2.2 0.8 -1.0
SDC .NYG 0.3 -0.5 -1.2 1.4 -2.7 -3.0
SEA DET 4.3 4.4 1.6 5.1 2.4 4.1
SFO TEN 9.8 4.3 15.7 2.7 0.7 0.8
STL BYE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
TBB GBP -0.5 -1.5 -2.6 -1.0 -2.5 -0.8
TEN .SFO 0.7 -1.0 2.4 1.7 0.2 0.3
WAS .ATL 3.1 -1.1 2.5 3.7 -0.6 -0.3