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Team by Team Projections - Week 5

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI HOU 17.9 35.2 39.7 1.9 8.5 9.1
ATL .SFO 14.9 25.3 24.3 10.1 5.3 8.0
BAL CIN 25.5 37.0 35.2 14.0 8.1 11.4
BUF CLE 15.6 33.0 24.0 10.0 8.4 15.2
CAR WAS 9.7 21.7 20.6 10.4 3.3 8.4
CHI   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CIN .BAL 18.4 20.2 33.8 4.3 5.1 7.9
CLE .BUF 12.6 25.9 22.5 15.0 5.2 8.8
DAL .KCC 21.5 31.9 30.4 16.0 10.1 8.3
DEN NEP 15.8 26.6 24.5 9.7 7.8 15.4
DET PIT 17.9 17.9 27.0 18.0 5.7 9.0
GBP   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HOU .ARI 25.8 15.8 40.8 17.4 6.3 10.3
IND .TEN 32.6 17.6 52.1 24.7 9.3 10.0
JAC .SEA 20.3 26.6 30.8 13.5 8.5 8.0
KCC DAL 18.0 17.9 30.9 11.4 2.9 6.1
MIA NYJ 3.6 33.2 19.5 1.0 6.2 14.0
MIN .STL 22.1 28.8 34.7 11.0 9.1 19.2
NEP .DEN 12.2 22.5 27.7 10.0 7.2 5.4
NOS   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NYG OAK 19.5 25.1 44.9 6.3 11.5 18.3
NYJ .MIA 15.5 16.4 18.7 13.4 7.9 10.7
OAK .NYG 3.2 12.9 -0.1 9.6 5.0 3.5
PHI TBB 29.5 21.3 39.7 22.2 11.3 18.2
PIT .DET 29.1 29.5 42.9 18.8 7.6 7.9
SDC   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SEA JAC 25.5 26.5 42.2 15.2 5.4 6.5
SFO ATL 13.4 30.1 15.0 17.9 9.8 15.3
STL MIN 11.9 11.3 12.9 19.2 2.1 5.3
TBB .PHI 11.9 23.9 15.3 14.2 -1.0 4.2
TEN IND 15.2 29.1 34.0 7.8 6.2 2.7
WAS .CAR 19.4 22.4 19.5 20.3 4.5 18.5


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Buffalo QBs (Trent Edwards) to score 0.6 more fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI HOU -1.0 9.4 -5.8 -1.2 -0.1 -1.6
ATL .SFO -2.3 -0.7 -1.0 -3.6 -0.5 -2.4
BAL CIN 3.9 -5.1 -0.6 2.4 0.2 0.3
BUF CLE 0.6 11.3 0.5 0.3 1.0 5.9
CAR WAS -2.0 -1.9 -3.3 -2.2 -2.0 3.1
CHI   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CIN .BAL 0.3 -2.9 -2.0 -1.8 0.6 -4.7
CLE .BUF 0.3 7.4 -3.2 4.7 -1.9 2.2
DAL .KCC 3.8 -1.1 2.9 1.3 1.3 -1.1
DEN NEP -0.5 -0.8 -5.8 -0.1 -1.8 -1.0
DET PIT 1.9 -7.5 0.5 5.1 -3.0 3.2
GBP   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HOU .ARI 4.9 -3.7 4.6 2.7 -0.8 -1.0
IND .TEN 7.4 -9.8 11.5 4.9 1.0 -1.0
JAC .SEA -0.5 1.1 -0.4 0.4 -1.2 -0.6
KCC DAL 2.3 0.2 3.0 2.7 -1.9 -0.2
MIA NYJ -5.9 -3.2 -6.9 -1.2 -1.9 4.1
MIN .STL 3.6 -5.1 -1.9 3.3 -0.7 5.0
NEP .DEN -7.6 -4.1 -8.3 -4.3 -3.7 -3.5
NOS   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NYG OAK -1.2 5.5 -3.4 -1.1 -0.1 4.7
NYJ .MIA 0.9 -5.1 -5.9 2.7 0.6 0.2
OAK .NYG -4.1 -5.5 -13.1 2.6 -3.6 -5.1
PHI TBB 3.8 0.2 2.4 2.7 1.7 1.5
PIT .DET 6.7 2.8 5.0 2.4 0.6 0.6
SDC   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SEA JAC 5.0 0.6 10.0 0.9 -2.9 -1.3
SFO ATL -0.4 4.7 -1.3 2.4 0.5 -2.6
STL MIN 0.7 -4.8 -7.0 8.8 -0.1 0.0
TBB .PHI -3.0 1.2 -2.2 -2.5 -1.0 -2.1
TEN IND -1.5 1.1 1.4 -2.8 0.5 -4.1
WAS .CAR 1.4 3.2 -6.0 4.1 -1.0 8.9