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Team by Team Projections - Week 4

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI HOU 17.9 35.2 39.7 1.9 8.5 9.1
ATL .SFO 14.9 25.3 24.3 10.1 5.3 8.0
BAL CIN 32.9 50.0 46.5 18.0 10.4 14.9
BUF CLE 20.8 39.7 31.4 13.4 10.6 18.2
CAR WAS 9.7 21.7 20.6 10.4 3.3 8.4
CHI   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CIN .BAL 24.2 26.7 45.4 6.2 6.4 11.3
CLE .BUF 16.6 31.1 30.8 18.3 7.2 10.6
DAL .KCC 27.2 41.1 39.3 20.7 12.5 10.9
DEN NEP 21.4 35.1 34.1 13.0 10.7 20.7
DET PIT 23.4 25.7 35.4 22.3 8.3 10.9
GBP   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HOU .ARI 32.5 21.2 52.5 22.1 8.3 13.3
IND .TEN 40.8 25.2 65.2 30.9 11.6 13.0
JAC .SEA 27.1 33.7 41.0 17.6 11.2 10.4
KCC DAL 23.5 23.4 39.7 14.3 4.3 8.1
MIA NYJ 6.9 44.4 27.9 1.8 8.6 17.1
MIN .STL 28.2 38.2 46.6 13.4 11.8 23.0
NEP .DEN 18.6 30.0 39.4 14.5 10.2 7.9
NOS   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NYG OAK 26.6 31.2 60.3 8.8 14.9 22.7
NYJ .MIA 20.3 22.4 26.7 16.8 10.0 13.6
OAK .NYG 5.6 17.9 4.1 11.9 7.5 5.9
PHI TBB 29.5 21.3 39.7 22.2 11.3 18.2
PIT .DET 36.4 37.0 55.2 24.0 9.6 9.9
SDC   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SEA JAC 32.6 34.5 52.5 20.0 7.9 9.0
SFO ATL 18.2 38.0 20.1 23.2 12.5 21.1
STL MIN 15.8 16.2 19.2 22.8 2.7 7.0
TBB .PHI 16.7 30.3 21.0 19.6 -1.0 5.9
TEN IND 21.0 37.8 44.3 11.4 7.9 4.9
WAS .CAR 25.2 27.7 27.8 25.4 6.0 21.2


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Buffalo QBs (Trent Edwards) to score 0.6 more fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI HOU -1.0 9.4 -5.8 -1.2 -0.1 -1.6
ATL .SFO -2.3 -0.7 -1.0 -3.6 -0.5 -2.4
BAL CIN 3.9 -5.1 -0.6 2.4 0.2 0.3
BUF CLE 0.6 11.3 0.5 0.3 1.0 5.9
CAR WAS -2.0 -1.9 -3.3 -2.2 -2.0 3.1
CHI   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
CIN .BAL 0.3 -2.9 -2.0 -1.8 0.6 -4.7
CLE .BUF 0.3 7.4 -3.2 4.7 -1.9 2.2
DAL .KCC 3.8 -1.1 2.9 1.3 1.3 -1.1
DEN NEP -0.5 -0.8 -5.8 -0.1 -1.8 -1.0
DET PIT 1.9 -7.5 0.5 5.1 -3.0 3.2
GBP   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HOU .ARI 4.9 -3.7 4.6 2.7 -0.8 -1.0
IND .TEN 7.4 -9.8 11.5 4.9 1.0 -1.0
JAC .SEA -0.5 1.1 -0.4 0.4 -1.2 -0.6
KCC DAL 2.3 0.2 3.0 2.7 -1.9 -0.2
MIA NYJ -5.9 -3.2 -6.9 -1.2 -1.9 4.1
MIN .STL 3.6 -5.1 -1.9 3.3 -0.7 5.0
NEP .DEN -7.6 -4.1 -8.3 -4.3 -3.7 -3.5
NOS   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NYG OAK -1.2 5.5 -3.4 -1.1 -0.1 4.7
NYJ .MIA 0.9 -5.1 -5.9 2.7 0.6 0.2
OAK .NYG -4.1 -5.5 -13.1 2.6 -3.6 -5.1
PHI TBB 3.8 0.2 2.4 2.7 1.7 1.5
PIT .DET 6.7 2.8 5.0 2.4 0.6 0.6
SDC   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SEA JAC 5.0 0.6 10.0 0.9 -2.9 -1.3
SFO ATL -0.4 4.7 -1.3 2.4 0.5 -2.6
STL MIN 0.7 -4.8 -7.0 8.8 -0.1 0.0
TBB .PHI -3.0 1.2 -2.2 -2.5 -1.0 -2.1
TEN IND -1.5 1.1 1.4 -2.8 0.5 -4.1
WAS .CAR 1.4 3.2 -6.0 4.1 -1.0 8.9