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Team by Team Projections - Week 16

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI STL 20.9 31.6 44.6 4.6 7.2 16.0
ATL BUF 13.6 31.7 22.7 14.9 6.0 12.3
BAL .PIT 18.3 28.3 32.6 8.3 8.6 12.8
BUF .ATL 16.7 22.0 26.4 7.6 5.2 9.5
CAR .NYG 15.8 25.4 23.7 16.7 4.3 8.7
CHI MIN 18.6 15.3 32.1 15.5 5.1 7.7
CIN KCC 18.0 33.5 33.0 7.6 9.0 15.9
CLE OAK 12.6 22.1 23.3 5.8 5.6 10.9
DAL .WAS 20.4 22.1 38.1 15.1 7.6 11.4
DEN .PHI 16.5 19.9 33.4 13.1 6.8 8.1
DET .SFO 15.6 23.2 24.9 12.0 6.4 7.1
GBP SEA 30.5 23.6 45.8 19.3 8.0 14.0
HOU .MIA 24.0 23.7 41.0 12.3 8.1 8.9
IND NYJ 19.1 22.5 32.9 19.1 5.9 14.8
JAC .NEP 18.3 21.0 34.4 10.3 3.8 5.0
KCC .CIN 13.9 15.3 21.3 6.5 6.1 6.3
MIA HOU 13.0 30.0 26.5 11.4 7.8 9.5
MIN .CHI 21.8 29.8 40.3 11.5 8.7 11.6
NEP JAC 24.2 25.4 47.6 9.4 8.9 12.0
NOS TBB 24.9 36.8 37.5 16.2 8.1 16.0
NYG CAR 19.4 27.7 37.7 10.4 6.5 11.7
NYJ .IND 13.4 24.8 30.1 6.5 8.9 7.0
OAK .CLE 12.0 24.7 11.8 13.0 7.9 8.5
PHI DEN 19.3 24.0 33.5 13.3 9.1 15.3
PIT BAL 19.9 17.7 37.0 12.5 5.2 9.1
SDC .TEN 21.7 28.5 31.8 17.1 8.9 7.7
SEA .GBP 19.6 20.3 32.6 10.5 5.8 7.4
SFO DET 20.2 29.3 26.9 19.7 9.7 15.8
STL .ARI 12.2 22.1 27.0 11.6 5.2 5.8
TBB .NOS 14.4 20.0 28.2 14.5 1.5 5.3
TEN SDC 17.5 29.1 25.9 12.4 8.4 5.8
WAS DAL 18.9 22.5 25.0 15.8 5.4 7.6


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Arizona QBs (Kurt Warner) to score 1.6 more fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI STL 1.6 3.9 -1.2 0.5 -1.0 5.0
ATL BUF -3.7 6.3 -5.4 -0.7 -0.6 3.2
BAL .PIT 0.6 -6.5 3.7 -0.6 -0.8 0.5
BUF .ATL 3.7 1.6 1.6 1.9 -2.3 -1.1
CAR .NYG 3.4 -3.2 1.3 5.2 -1.8 -1.8
CHI MIN 2.0 -2.3 0.8 1.8 -1.6 -2.0
CIN KCC 0.6 7.5 -2.2 1.3 1.7 3.9
CLE OAK 1.4 2.6 0.6 -0.7 1.7 2.5
DAL .WAS -0.8 -0.9 -0.5 -0.1 0.3 0.7
DEN .PHI 0.5 -1.5 -1.3 3.5 -2.0 -4.0
DET .SFO 0.0 0.9 1.7 -0.6 0.5 0.3
GBP SEA 4.6 2.2 7.4 2.8 -0.7 2.1
HOU .MIA 2.2 -2.7 0.5 0.3 0.9 -1.5
IND NYJ -4.4 -2.3 -8.0 -0.9 -1.5 3.5
JAC .NEP 0.7 -4.0 4.2 -0.4 -2.7 -2.0
KCC .CIN -1.3 -1.3 -4.3 -0.6 -1.1 -1.4
MIA HOU -0.4 -1.1 -2.6 2.7 -0.3 -0.1
MIN .CHI 0.8 -1.9 1.8 0.7 -0.4 0.6
NEP JAC 2.4 -1.2 3.1 1.0 0.1 1.3
NOS TBB 0.3 2.5 -2.2 2.0 -0.8 2.0
NYG CAR -2.1 4.7 -5.8 0.5 -3.3 2.1
NYJ .IND 0.7 0.4 6.4 -1.4 0.1 -4.1
OAK .CLE 1.5 3.7 -3.9 2.2 0.4 1.6
PHI DEN -2.3 1.7 -3.7 -0.1 -1.4 1.0
PIT BAL -2.1 -3.4 -4.2 -0.5 -2.6 -0.9
SDC .TEN 0.5 1.1 4.5 0.7 -1.4 -3.6
SEA .GBP 1.8 -3.6 0.6 1.2 -1.4 -1.6
SFO DET 4.1 8.2 5.3 1.2 2.6 4.1
STL .ARI 0.4 0.9 1.9 1.0 -0.9 -0.3
TBB .NOS -0.8 1.9 2.5 0.0 -2.5 -3.8
TEN SDC 0.8 0.2 1.5 0.7 -1.1 -3.7
WAS DAL 1.0 -0.3 -0.8 0.9 -1.5 -0.7