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Team by Team Projections - Week 15

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .DET 23.3 31.5 51.6 5.5 9.9 13.8
ATL .NYJ 12.5 21.6 22.5 13.8 5.5 10.5
BAL CHI 17.6 36.4 29.0 8.7 9.6 12.6
BUF NEP 15.3 18.8 29.1 6.1 6.1 9.7
CAR MIN 12.3 23.0 22.3 12.9 5.2 7.1
CHI .BAL 15.6 14.5 29.0 13.9 4.7 7.6
CIN .SDC 16.3 25.3 34.6 5.6 6.0 7.2
CLE .KCC 12.6 21.6 21.6 8.5 4.8 10.4
DAL .NOS 19.8 23.8 40.2 14.4 4.8 5.8
DEN OAK 17.3 25.6 34.7 8.9 9.0 15.0
DET ARI 17.4 24.3 26.7 15.5 5.3 6.3
GBP .PIT 23.1 17.6 39.0 13.8 8.7 13.8
HOU .STL 21.9 30.7 36.0 12.5 5.9 13.6
IND .JAC 23.2 22.5 44.9 17.9 7.6 11.3
JAC IND 18.4 26.1 35.9 9.3 7.0 4.7
KCC CLE 16.0 22.1 24.4 9.1 7.6 10.3
MIA .TEN 13.2 31.4 32.6 8.4 6.4 6.1
MIN .CAR 19.1 34.3 35.4 10.9 7.8 12.7
NEP .BUF 18.7 31.9 41.3 8.4 8.4 12.0
NOS DAL 26.0 33.7 38.2 14.7 7.6 14.2
NYG .WAS 19.5 21.1 40.5 10.0 9.0 8.5
NYJ ATL 17.9 29.8 23.7 10.9 8.4 11.9
OAK .DEN 8.1 19.9 13.2 10.2 5.6 7.5
PHI SFO 21.8 25.3 37.4 13.1 10.7 14.6
PIT GBP 22.0 16.9 37.1 13.9 4.5 11.1
SDC CIN 19.4 26.8 20.0 16.4 8.7 11.3
SEA TBB 18.5 27.8 30.6 9.5 8.9 12.3
SFO .PHI 17.8 20.6 20.9 22.3 5.4 8.2
STL HOU 11.8 20.5 23.1 14.6 5.5 6.1
TBB .SEA 18.5 17.7 30.5 16.3 3.3 8.8
TEN MIA 18.8 28.9 23.0 13.0 10.9 8.8
WAS NYG 22.2 21.4 28.7 21.1 5.9 9.6


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Arizona QBs (Kurt Warner) to score 3.7 more fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .DET 3.7 4.9 5.2 1.1 2.7 2.7
ATL .NYJ -5.2 -4.4 -6.9 -2.1 -1.2 1.9
BAL CHI 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.1
BUF NEP 2.2 -1.8 4.6 0.5 -1.7 -1.2
CAR MIN 1.0 -4.7 1.0 1.6 -1.2 -3.0
CHI .BAL -2.1 -3.9 -2.8 -0.7 -2.4 -2.1
CIN .SDC -0.6 -1.3 0.5 0.0 -1.1 -5.0
CLE .KCC 1.0 4.6 -1.0 1.6 1.6 2.6
DAL .NOS -1.3 1.3 1.6 -0.4 -2.5 -4.7
DEN OAK 1.5 3.5 0.0 -0.7 0.7 2.7
DET ARI 1.7 2.5 3.0 2.2 -0.6 0.1
GBP .PIT -1.7 -4.4 2.0 -2.1 -0.4 1.3
HOU .STL 0.2 3.0 -3.1 0.2 -1.1 3.4
IND .JAC 0.3 -2.8 3.9 -1.3 0.1 -0.1
JAC IND 1.1 1.8 6.1 -1.3 0.7 -2.7
KCC CLE 1.6 6.3 -5.2 2.7 0.7 2.9
MIA .TEN 0.4 0.3 4.2 0.5 -1.5 -3.6
MIN .CAR -2.7 1.9 -4.6 0.0 -1.9 1.0
NEP .BUF -4.1 4.6 -4.9 -0.6 -0.7 1.5
NOS DAL 1.1 -1.2 -1.8 0.6 -1.6 -0.5
NYG .WAS -1.7 -1.4 -2.4 0.1 -0.8 -0.1
NYJ ATL 5.3 4.4 1.0 2.9 -0.9 0.4
OAK .DEN -2.7 -0.3 -2.1 -0.6 -1.8 0.5
PHI SFO 0.3 3.0 0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.4
PIT GBP 1.3 -3.0 -2.2 1.4 -2.8 0.2
SDC CIN -1.5 -0.8 -6.3 -0.5 -1.5 -0.4
SEA TBB 0.4 3.6 -1.7 1.1 1.2 2.9
SFO .PHI 1.2 -1.0 -0.4 3.4 -1.5 -4.0
STL HOU 0.0 -0.6 -2.1 3.5 -0.3 0.1
TBB .SEA 3.6 0.6 9.6 1.8 -0.1 0.4
TEN MIA 2.8 -0.7 -0.3 1.2 1.4 -0.5
WAS NYG 4.7 -1.1 2.0 6.4 -1.4 0.5