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Team by Team Projections - Week 13

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI MIN 21.0 23.3 44.6 8.0 5.6 9.6
ATL PHI 19.4 26.7 25.9 21.3 6.7 8.0
BAL .GBP 17.3 29.4 25.4 9.6 6.9 9.7
BUF NYJ 10.5 18.8 22.0 5.1 5.7 14.1
CAR TBB 14.9 30.9 24.6 14.3 5.8 11.6
CHI STL 19.8 24.8 30.2 17.9 5.7 14.1
CIN DET 23.4 33.5 42.2 8.5 10.1 16.5
CLE SDC 9.0 15.5 21.2 6.0 1.9 3.5
DAL .NYG 21.2 22.9 35.4 16.9 5.9 10.1
DEN .KCC 18.2 24.5 34.1 12.1 8.3 13.8
DET .CIN 15.0 17.9 18.8 14.8 4.7 4.6
GBP BAL 24.4 19.8 36.0 13.7 6.5 11.2
HOU .JAC 22.9 24.6 40.9 14.1 8.4 9.8
IND TEN 25.6 28.6 46.7 20.6 6.4 9.5
JAC HOU 18.2 25.2 29.9 13.8 4.9 6.5
KCC DEN 13.4 17.0 30.2 3.7 6.8 9.9
MIA NEP 13.1 30.7 28.4 7.9 5.5 8.2
MIN .ARI 23.5 31.8 44.4 13.1 8.5 10.3
NEP .MIA 26.7 24.9 46.6 11.4 11.8 10.0
NOS .WAS 21.6 30.6 36.8 13.2 7.1 16.9
NYG DAL 21.0 20.0 40.7 9.9 8.6 8.4
NYJ .BUF 10.3 31.1 18.2 9.9 6.2 12.0
OAK .PIT 7.3 17.7 15.3 9.0 6.0 9.9
PHI .ATL 25.8 22.6 40.3 16.4 10.1 11.6
PIT OAK 22.4 26.4 37.9 12.1 7.9 15.7
SDC .CLE 22.1 29.8 24.4 18.0 9.4 15.2
SEA SFO 19.3 26.6 32.9 11.2 8.9 10.8
SFO .SEA 19.4 22.7 29.1 19.5 6.5 10.4
STL .CHI 15.8 21.1 33.2 10.9 5.4 7.2
TBB .CAR 13.4 21.1 16.1 14.3 2.9 11.1
TEN .IND 13.4 28.7 28.0 7.8 9.8 4.8
WAS NOS 13.8 26.7 23.1 13.6 4.5 5.9


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Atlanta QBs (Matt Ryan) to score 1.4 more fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI MIN 0.8 -4.9 -2.3 3.0 -1.3 -1.9
ATL PHI 1.4 -0.4 -2.8 4.9 -0.2 -1.7
BAL .GBP 0.5 -5.8 -3.4 1.3 -3.1 -1.8
BUF NYJ -3.6 -1.0 -5.1 -0.9 -1.6 3.6
CAR TBB 3.7 2.1 3.2 2.7 -0.3 2.4
CHI STL 1.4 6.1 -1.0 1.3 -2.1 4.8
CIN DET 5.5 5.6 6.6 2.7 3.2 4.2
CLE SDC -1.9 0.1 -1.3 -0.4 -0.7 -4.3
DAL .NYG 0.9 -1.1 -1.4 3.2 -1.7 -1.2
DEN .KCC 3.0 3.3 1.4 2.0 0.4 1.8
DET .CIN -2.0 -4.5 -5.3 -0.2 -2.0 -2.1
GBP BAL -1.4 -2.0 -3.3 -1.1 -2.7 -0.9
HOU .JAC 0.8 -3.6 3.6 0.1 1.4 0.5
IND TEN 2.3 3.5 4.1 1.1 -1.1 -2.3
JAC HOU 0.6 -0.6 -2.2 4.2 -0.8 0.2
KCC DEN -2.4 3.0 -1.4 -1.8 -0.3 2.6
MIA NEP 1.6 -2.3 3.0 -0.1 -2.7 -1.7
MIN .ARI 0.7 -1.3 3.5 1.4 -1.3 -2.4
NEP .MIA 3.1 -2.2 -0.8 2.0 2.4 -1.2
NOS .WAS -3.0 -4.4 -2.7 -1.1 -1.5 0.8
NYG DAL 0.8 -1.1 -1.9 0.3 -1.6 -0.8
NYJ .BUF -3.1 6.2 -5.0 0.7 -1.7 1.2
OAK .PIT -1.8 -2.6 3.4 -1.9 -0.7 2.7
PHI .ATL 3.5 0.6 2.8 2.9 -0.8 -1.2
PIT OAK 0.9 5.5 -1.6 -1.6 0.5 3.9
SDC .CLE 1.3 3.4 -2.8 1.8 -0.6 2.4
SEA SFO 1.2 2.6 0.6 2.2 0.6 1.0
SFO .SEA 3.2 1.1 9.1 1.1 -0.5 -0.8
STL .CHI 3.0 0.0 6.9 -0.2 -0.3 0.7
TBB .CAR -2.6 3.1 -4.6 -1.1 -1.7 2.5
TEN .IND -1.2 -0.2 4.6 -2.4 0.9 -3.7
WAS NOS -2.7 4.8 -1.4 -0.5 -1.9 -3.1