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Team by Team Projections - Week 12

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .TEN 26.0 29.9 59.4 5.9 6.2 7.7
ATL TBB 20.2 32.9 28.7 18.5 6.9 13.0
BAL PIT 14.7 31.4 28.8 7.7 8.7 17.4
BUF MIA 16.4 17.8 26.4 9.5 10.9 9.5
CAR .NYJ 9.5 27.2 19.8 9.8 4.7 11.5
CHI .MIN 20.5 16.3 34.0 19.1 6.2 7.7
CIN CLE 22.6 34.4 37.3 8.8 5.9 17.9
CLE .CIN 10.3 14.0 19.9 8.6 1.7 5.9
DAL OAK 19.8 27.8 33.4 11.4 8.9 15.0
DEN NYG 18.7 22.3 33.7 14.2 5.3 10.4
DET GBP 18.2 19.8 21.1 15.9 4.2 6.5
GBP .DET 29.3 27.1 43.9 16.3 12.1 12.7
HOU IND 21.3 27.1 40.4 13.2 8.2 6.5
IND .HOU 22.4 22.7 41.1 21.2 6.7 9.3
JAC .SFO 18.2 26.9 34.3 10.6 7.6 7.5
KCC .SDC 14.0 10.6 31.6 6.8 7.0 5.2
MIA .BUF 8.1 40.4 19.4 7.8 7.7 11.7
MIN CHI 24.3 31.8 42.5 11.7 7.8 13.5
NEP .NOS 22.2 27.3 47.8 9.1 8.8 7.8
NOS NEP 20.8 33.6 34.2 13.4 5.2 12.9
NYG .DEN 18.7 24.0 40.8 8.4 9.6 11.1
NYJ CAR 12.1 28.8 21.2 8.4 6.7 12.6
OAK .DAL 8.4 17.9 11.8 10.1 6.6 6.6
PHI WAS 19.8 18.0 33.2 13.5 10.1 17.6
PIT .BAL 19.8 18.5 38.9 14.7 5.5 8.5
SDC KCC 22.8 28.6 29.2 15.3 9.6 13.9
SEA .STL 20.8 27.8 36.3 10.6 5.3 11.3
SFO JAC 16.8 21.2 24.6 16.4 8.6 11.8
STL SEA 16.6 22.5 35.2 13.2 5.5 8.6
TBB .ATL 19.1 19.5 23.8 18.5 4.2 7.3
TEN ARI 13.6 28.4 22.8 10.6 7.3 8.3
WAS .PHI 15.4 20.7 19.3 18.7 6.3 7.1


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Atlanta QBs (Matt Ryan) to score 2.5 more fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .TEN 4.9 1.9 10.6 0.6 -0.9 -3.3
ATL TBB 2.5 4.8 0.7 2.2 0.3 3.0
BAL PIT -2.1 -4.0 1.0 -1.3 -1.5 5.3
BUF MIA 3.5 -0.7 -0.6 3.4 3.9 -0.6
CAR .NYJ -2.8 -3.3 -2.9 -1.8 -1.3 2.7
CHI .MIN 1.5 -3.2 1.5 2.0 -1.9 -2.4
CIN CLE 4.1 6.0 -0.2 3.4 -0.3 5.2
CLE .CIN -0.2 -1.8 -3.0 1.9 -1.0 -1.9
DAL OAK -0.2 4.7 -3.4 -2.1 1.2 3.9
DEN NYG 3.5 1.5 0.8 4.3 -1.7 -1.1
DET GBP 0.8 -3.1 -3.6 1.1 -2.8 -0.1
GBP .DET 3.8 4.5 6.0 1.8 2.9 1.8
HOU IND -0.9 0.4 3.4 -1.8 1.5 -3.2
IND .HOU -1.0 -2.5 -1.9 2.0 -1.1 -2.1
JAC .SFO 0.5 0.7 1.8 1.5 1.6 0.9
KCC .SDC -2.0 -1.7 -0.4 0.7 -0.6 -3.0
MIA .BUF -3.6 6.9 -6.2 0.2 -1.1 1.6
MIN CHI 2.5 -0.6 2.9 0.4 -1.4 1.1
NEP .NOS -2.8 0.9 -0.7 -0.9 -1.0 -4.4
NOS NEP -2.3 -2.6 -3.2 -1.0 -3.4 -3.7
NYG .DEN -2.5 2.1 -2.5 -1.7 -0.7 1.5
NYJ CAR -1.7 4.0 -3.5 -0.7 -1.3 3.2
OAK .DAL 0.1 -2.4 0.6 -0.6 -0.6 -1.0
PHI WAS -2.8 -3.3 -4.2 -0.6 -0.5 4.2
PIT .BAL -2.0 -2.9 -1.8 -0.2 -2.0 -3.1
SDC KCC 2.4 3.4 1.0 0.8 -0.1 2.1
SEA .STL 1.8 4.3 2.5 1.0 -2.9 2.3
SFO JAC 1.1 -0.8 4.6 -1.0 1.8 1.3
STL SEA 4.3 2.2 10.4 1.8 0.0 1.9
TBB .ATL 3.8 1.2 3.9 3.1 -0.2 -1.0
TEN ARI 0.0 -0.4 1.4 1.3 -1.4 -0.6
WAS .PHI -0.3 -1.4 -4.5 4.7 -0.2 -2.2