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Team by Team Projections - Week 11

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .STL 22.3 30.7 48.8 7.3 4.9 13.3
ATL .NYG 19.7 27.5 29.7 16.7 4.4 9.4
BAL IND 16.8 35.8 33.0 7.8 8.8 8.5
BUF .JAC 12.7 18.5 28.7 5.4 8.4 10.3
CAR MIA 16.2 29.3 22.3 14.9 9.6 10.0
CHI PHI 20.4 20.2 29.3 22.5 6.3 8.3
CIN .OAK 16.2 31.7 35.9 3.6 8.0 15.4
CLE .DET 10.9 21.4 23.0 8.6 5.9 11.3
DAL WAS 18.3 20.3 36.3 11.7 9.2 15.9
DEN SDC 15.6 19.1 34.4 12.6 7.9 11.2
DET CLE 16.3 26.9 22.7 15.4 6.3 15.3
GBP SFO 25.8 22.9 35.3 17.1 10.3 13.9
HOU TEN 28.4 31.4 48.2 17.1 6.7 7.9
IND .BAL 21.8 23.2 41.3 17.6 6.1 8.5
JAC BUF 14.0 39.9 24.4 9.6 6.2 9.3
KCC PIT 12.4 7.7 33.5 3.8 5.8 12.7
MIA .CAR 9.6 32.3 22.3 8.2 7.2 12.1
MIN SEA 23.1 34.6 46.6 10.8 9.8 14.2
NEP NYJ 22.5 24.1 39.4 10.8 8.6 13.6
NOS .TBB 24.5 36.6 39.4 14.2 8.2 16.1
NYG ATL 24.1 23.7 44.9 11.5 9.2 10.9
NYJ .NEP 12.3 23.5 24.1 7.9 5.2 4.5
OAK CIN 7.5 19.4 8.8 11.8 4.9 4.6
PHI .CHI 23.5 20.1 37.8 14.8 9.1 13.8
PIT .KCC 20.5 22.8 37.9 11.9 7.5 12.8
SDC .DEN 19.5 24.4 27.0 13.6 7.4 12.0
SEA .MIN 22.7 19.4 37.2 14.4 7.0 8.2
SFO .GBP 14.3 18.3 16.6 15.8 3.4 10.8
STL ARI 13.3 20.9 25.2 14.1 3.9 5.6
TBB NOS 14.5 22.9 21.8 15.8 5.6 7.1
TEN .HOU 12.3 26.2 22.4 11.8 6.4 7.2
WAS .DAL 16.9 18.9 23.8 14.9 5.9 7.2


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Atlanta QBs (Matt Ryan) to score 2.5 more fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI .STL 1.4 3.6 0.1 2.0 -2.6 2.3
ATL .NYG 2.5 -1.0 2.1 1.9 -2.1 -1.4
BAL IND -0.5 -0.6 5.1 -1.6 -0.3 -3.9
BUF .JAC 0.4 -0.8 3.7 -1.0 1.6 0.1
CAR MIA 4.3 -1.8 0.2 3.6 4.2 0.5
CHI PHI 0.8 0.8 -4.5 5.7 -1.0 -1.7
CIN .OAK -1.9 2.6 -2.7 -2.1 1.6 2.4
CLE .DET 2.7 6.5 3.8 2.4 4.1 3.3
DAL WAS -2.6 -3.5 -2.8 -1.5 0.8 4.8
DEN SDC -0.4 -1.6 0.2 2.0 0.4 -1.5
DET CLE 1.4 5.6 -0.5 2.0 -0.5 7.9
GBP SFO 0.4 1.9 -1.3 2.4 1.4 2.5
HOU TEN 6.3 4.8 11.1 1.4 -0.2 -2.2
IND .BAL -2.4 -2.9 -2.6 -1.5 -1.9 -3.3
JAC BUF -3.7 13.0 -8.1 0.7 0.0 3.3
KCC PIT -3.1 -3.3 1.3 -1.8 -1.6 5.4
MIA .CAR -2.0 -0.6 -3.1 -0.2 -1.8 2.0
MIN SEA 2.7 1.5 8.7 0.7 0.2 1.8
NEP NYJ -2.9 -2.0 -8.2 -0.3 -1.5 2.7
NOS .TBB 1.2 0.4 1.3 0.5 -0.4 -0.2
NYG ATL 3.9 2.5 1.7 3.1 -1.0 0.7
NYJ .NEP -2.3 -2.8 -1.2 -1.4 -3.4 -4.9
OAK CIN 0.2 -0.8 -1.6 2.0 -2.0 -2.2
PHI .CHI 0.9 -1.4 1.9 -0.1 -2.0 -0.3
PIT .KCC -0.4 1.9 -1.5 -1.7 -0.1 0.9
SDC .DEN -1.9 0.6 -1.6 -1.7 -1.6 0.8
SEA .MIN 2.7 -4.0 2.6 3.8 -1.7 -1.6
SFO .GBP -0.6 -4.4 -2.9 -1.0 -3.3 -0.6
STL ARI 0.8 0.5 1.2 2.0 -1.4 -0.7
TBB NOS -1.4 4.6 1.3 -0.3 0.8 -2.3
TEN .HOU -1.0 -3.3 0.3 2.7 -2.0 -1.8
WAS .DAL 0.7 -2.9 0.6 -0.2 -0.5 -1.7