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Team by Team Projections - Week 10

The formulas in the chart were developed based on statistics from last year and the goal was to determine how important is a player's offensive output for a given week was affected by the defense he faces.  Every week we will publish this chart and it does focus on teams rather than players because there are so many other factors and it is impossible for us to predict whether say Anquan Boldin or Larry Fitzgerald will be most effective this week. With that said, here is our chart for this week:

Projected fantasy points based on regular WCOFF scoring system (4 pts per TD pass and 1 pt per reception)

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI SEA 21.3 23.9 51.6 7.5 7.1 11.2
ATL .CAR 15.5 27.9 25.2 12.1 4.7 14.9
BAL .CLE 19.8 38.4 31.0 10.6 7.2 15.0
BUF .TEN 19.6 22.5 37.4 8.4 6.9 9.5
CAR ATL 14.3 31.4 21.0 16.0 5.3 9.8
CHI .SFO 22.2 20.5 37.4 17.9 8.4 11.6
CIN .PIT 17.0 17.6 43.7 4.4 3.1 14.9
CLE BAL 9.3 17.1 19.5 5.8 1.9 6.9
DAL .GBP 20.5 21.1 34.2 12.3 6.1 11.2
DEN .WAS 12.0 17.5 29.7 9.6 8.4 17.5
DET .MIN 17.4 19.5 25.2 16.5 6.3 5.8
GBP DAL 27.9 19.5 37.8 15.4 9.1 7.7
HOU   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IND NEP 20.5 23.9 38.3 19.2 5.6 8.2
JAC .NYJ 12.8 24.8 24.7 8.5 5.0 7.4
KCC .OAK 16.6 16.4 30.3 4.2 8.6 11.0
MIA TBB 15.9 35.8 30.0 7.7 6.9 13.1
MIN DET 24.4 37.8 40.3 14.5 12.4 17.6
NEP .IND 20.5 23.4 42.5 10.2 9.4 6.8
NOS .STL 25.8 39.7 37.7 14.9 7.1 19.5
NYG   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NYJ JAC 18.1 27.6 30.6 7.5 10.1 13.6
OAK KCC 10.9 22.3 13.2 10.8 8.1 8.4
PHI .SDC 18.5 19.9 28.1 15.3 10.7 13.2
PIT CIN 23.7 23.7 37.5 17.1 3.2 11.3
SDC PHI 22.5 19.1 24.8 22.4 7.5 10.0
SEA .ARI 20.3 19.6 35.4 12.7 6.2 9.8
SFO CHI 20.2 21.6 24.5 19.9 6.2 11.3
STL NOS 8.5 22.9 22.6 10.5 6.6 3.4
TBB .MIA 19.2 16.7 23.2 16.5 6.3 8.7
TEN BUF 7.1 36.9 13.6 10.3 5.6 9.6
WAS DEN 15.5 19.9 23.5 13.1 6.8 10.9


The following chart shows the advantage that each team has at each position this week in fantasy football. This only takes into account the match-up and not the talent of the actual player.

Example: We expect the Atlanta QBs (Matt Ryan) to score 2.1 fewer fantasy pts than he would if he was playing an average defense this week.

Team Opp QB RB WR TE K D
ARI SEA 0.8 -1.6 4.1 1.5 -0.4 0.3
ATL .CAR -2.1 -0.5 -3.1 -1.9 -1.6 3.0
BAL .CLE 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.4 4.1
BUF .TEN 7.2 3.9 13.8 2.0 -0.2 -1.9
CAR ATL 3.3 0.4 0.6 4.1 -0.4 0.1
CHI .SFO 1.6 1.7 2.2 1.0 1.3 1.6
CIN .PIT -2.2 -5.6 3.1 -1.5 -2.3 2.6
CLE BAL 0.5 1.6 0.2 -0.8 -0.2 -1.4
DAL .GBP -0.9 -4.3 -5.0 -1.1 -3.2 -0.3
DEN .WAS -3.8 -4.0 -4.1 -1.4 0.6 3.8
DET .MIN 2.9 -3.1 3.3 3.7 -0.7 -1.7
GBP DAL 2.0 -1.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 -2.7
HOU   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
IND NEP -2.9 -2.1 -3.7 -0.7 -2.9 -4.3
JAC .NYJ -4.4 -2.4 -7.7 -0.3 -1.2 1.6
KCC .OAK 0.4 6.9 -2.0 -1.6 1.7 4.2
MIA TBB 4.3 2.8 3.6 0.4 -1.2 2.9
MIN DET 4.1 5.4 2.8 4.0 2.7 5.0
NEP .IND -4.3 -2.9 -2.3 -1.3 -0.6 -4.9
NOS .STL 1.7 3.0 -0.8 1.5 -2.1 2.7
NYG   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
NYJ JAC 3.3 0.0 6.1 -1.4 1.8 3.8
OAK KCC 3.2 3.1 3.6 -0.1 1.2 2.2
PHI .SDC -3.2 -2.6 -4.1 0.7 -0.4 -2.5
PIT CIN 1.4 1.6 -4.0 2.5 -3.7 -1.3
SDC PHI 0.9 -2.6 -4.4 7.1 -1.8 -1.9
SEA .ARI 0.4 -2.3 1.4 2.0 -2.5 -1.2
SFO CHI 4.0 -0.8 4.5 1.6 -0.8 0.6
STL NOS -2.7 4.1 0.5 -1.1 1.3 -2.6
TBB .MIA 3.4 -1.7 2.6 0.9 3.1 -1.1
TEN BUF -5.7 9.5 -8.9 0.7 -2.0 2.2
WAS DEN -0.8 0.3 -0.2 -1.9 0.8 2.3