Offensive Line

2008 Receiving

#

Name

Team

Pos

Age

Exp

Pass Blocking

Rec

Yds

Avg

TD

FPTS

Reward

Risk

Tier 1

1

Randy Moss

NEP

WR

31

11

Same

90

1300

14.4

13

298

Medium

Low

Average decrease is 23% for WRs who had a season of over 350 pts in a PPR. Moss is still the number one receiver but don't expect another season like last year; he slowed down a little later in the year.

2

Reggie Wayne

IND

WR

30

8

Same

95

1400

14.7

10

295

Medium

Low

The average decrease is 6% for the 9 WRs who have been good for 4 straight seasons, improved by at least 5% in the year before and were between 28 and 32 yrs old. Injury to Harrison increased stats.

3

Marques Colston

NOS

WR

25

3

Slightly Worse

100

1300

13.0

10

290

Medium

Low

Randy Moss is the only player who had comparable numbers in his first two seasons and he was as good in his 3rd year. He is the #1 target on an excellent offense, no reason why he can't be as good as last year.

Tier 2

4

Andre Johnson

HOU

WR

27

6

Same

95

1250

13.2

10

280

High

Medium

Was 2nd in pts per 16 games for WRs (343 in a PPR). In 4 games with Schaub as QB, Johnson had 23 catches for 419 yards and 4 TDs. Pts per 16 games of similar WRs usually decrease by about 15-20%.

5

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

CIN

WR

31

8

Same

105

1250

11.9

10

290

Medium

Medium

 The 13 WRs who have been consistently good for 2 straight seasons between the ages of 26 and 33 stayed at the same level on average. Chad Johnson is a question mark but it could only help Housh if he leaves.

6

Larry Fitzgerald

ARI

WR

25

5

Same

95

1350

14.2

9

284

Medium

Medium

Average decrease is 12% for the 23 WRs 27 yrs old or under who improved by 15% to 45% (30% for Fitzgerald) and had over 250 fantasy pts in a PPR. 15 of the 60 passes completed by Leinart were to Fitz.

7

Torry Holt

STL

WR

32

10

Better

90

1200

13.3

8

258

High

Low

Offensive line should be better this season for the Rams, his TD number is the only one that dropped last season, has missed 2 games in 9 seasons. Has the ability to get 300+pts; see Steve Smith...

8

Terrell Owens

DAL

WR

35

13

Same

85

1300

15.3

13

293

Medium

High

6 WRs were very good at the age of 34, Harrison and Rice missed most of the season at 35; the other 4 decreased by an average of 8%. By far the best WR on an excellent offense but has been injured in past.

Tier 3

9

Braylon Edwards

CLE

WR

25

4

Same

75

1150

15.3

12

262

Medium

Medium

Only 3 of the 21 WRs who improved by more than 40% at 27 yrs old or under and had over 250 fantasy pts in a PPR continued to improve in the next season. Average decrease is 16%; Browns added Stallworth.

10

Wes Welker

NEP

WR

27

5

Same

100

1100

11.0

8

258

Low

Low

2 of the 8 WRs who improved by at least 20% and had over 225 pts in a PPR system after moving to a new team continued to improve. Average decrease is 8%; will continue to have lots of receptions.

11

Chad Johnson

CIN

WR

30

8

Same

85

1325

15.6

7

260

Medium

Medium

No one has been as consistent as Johnson over the last 5 seasons; between 87 and 97 Recs and between 7 and 10 TDs. Shoulder injury is becoming less of a concern, Johnson says he can play through it and at this point we have to believe him.

12

Steve Smith

CAR

WR

29

8

Worse

85

1150

13.5

8

248

High

Medium

Average improvement is 18% for the 14 WRs whose performance decreased by at least 5% for 2 straight seasons but had a season of at least 250 pts in the past 2 yrs. Suspended for first 2 games.

13

Jerricho Cotchery

NYJ

WR

26

5

Better

90

1175

13.1

6

244

Medium