Offensive Line

2008 Receiving

#

Name

Team

Pos

Age

Exp

Pass Blocking

Rec

Yds

Avg

TD

FPTS

Reward

Risk

Tier 1

1

Randy Moss

NEP

WR

31

11

Same

90

1300

14.4

13

208

Medium

Low

Average decrease is 23% for WRs who had a season of over 350 pts in a PPR. Moss is still the number one receiver but don't expect another season like last year; he slowed down a little later in the year.

2

Reggie Wayne

IND

WR

30

8

Same

95

1400

14.7

10

200

Medium

Low

The average decrease is 6% for the 9 WRs who have been good for 4 straight seasons, improved by at least 5% in the year before and were between 28 and 32 yrs old. Injury to Harrison increased stats.

Tier 2

3

Marques Colston

NOS

WR

25

3

Slightly Worse

100

1300

13.0

10

190

Medium

Low

Randy Moss is the only player who had comparable numbers in his first two seasons and he was as good in his 3rd year. He is the #1 target on an excellent offense, no reason why he can't be as good as last year.

4

Terrell Owens

DAL

WR

35

13

Same

85

1300

15.3

13

208

Medium

High

6 WRs were very good at the age of 34, Harrison and Rice missed most of the season at 35; the other 4 decreased by an average of 8%. By far the best WR on an excellent offense but has been injured in past.

5

Andre Johnson

HOU

WR

27

6

Same

95

1250

13.2

10

185

High

Medium

Was 2nd in pts per 16 games for WRs (343 in a PPR). In 4 games with Schaub as QB, Johnson had 23 catches for 419 yards and 4 TDs. Pts per 16 games of similar WRs usually decrease by about 15-20%.

6

Larry Fitzgerald

ARI

WR

25

5

Same

95

1350

14.2

9

189

Medium

Medium

Average decrease is 12% for the 23 WRs 27 yrs old or under who improved by 15% to 45% (30% for Fitzgerald) and had over 250 fantasy pts in a PPR. 15 of the 60 passes completed by Leinart were to Fitz.

7

Braylon Edwards

CLE

WR

25

4

Same

75

1150

15.3

12

187

Medium

Medium

Only 3 of the 21 WRs who improved by more than 40% at 27 yrs old or under and had over 250 fantasy pts in a PPR continued to improve in the next season. Average decrease is 16%; Browns added Stallworth.

8

T.J. Houshmandzadeh

CIN

WR

31

8

Same

105

1250

11.9

10

185

Medium

Medium

The 13 WRs who have been consistently good for 2 straight seasons between the ages of 26 and 33 stayed at the same level on average. Chad Johnson is a question mark but it could only help Housh if he leaves.

9

Torry Holt

STL

WR

32

10

Better

90

1200

13.3

8

168

High

Low

Offensive line should be better this season for the Rams, his TD number is the only one that dropped last season, has missed 2 games in 9 seasons. Has the ability to get 300+pts; see Steve Smith...

Tier 3

10

Chad Johnson

CIN

WR

30

8

Same

85

1325

15.6

7

175

Medium

Medium

No one has been as consistent as Johnson over the last 5 seasons; between 87 and 97 Recs and between 7 and 10 TDs. Shoulder injury is becoming less of a concern, Johnson says he can play through it and at this point we have to believe him.

11

Steve Smith

CAR

WR

29

8

Worse

85

1150

13.5

8

163

High

Medium

Average improvement is 18% for the 14 WRs whose performance decreased by at least 5% for 2 straight seasons but had a season of at least 250 pts in the past 2 yrs. Suspended for first 2 games.

Tier 4

12

Plaxico Burress

NYG

WR

31

9

Same

75

1100

14.7

10

170

Low

Medium

Average decrease is only 2% for the 28 WRs who have been consistently good for 3 straight seasons and are under 33 yrs old. Steve Smith may draw more coverage away in his 2nd season.

13

Jerricho Cotchery

NYJ

WR

26

5

Better

90

1175

13.1

6

154