Players in green moved up in the latest rankings and
players in red moved down.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Offensive Line |
2008 Receiving |
|
|
|
|
|
# |
Name |
Team |
Pos |
Age |
Exp |
Pass Blocking |
Rec |
Yds |
Avg |
TD |
FPTS |
Reward |
Risk |
|
|
Tier 1 |
|
|
1 |
Jason Witten |
DAL |
TE |
26 |
6 |
Same |
85 |
1000 |
11.8 |
6 |
221 |
Medium |
Low |
|
|
The absence of Glenn in 2007 allowed Witten to become Romo's number
2 target. The average decrease is 11% for the 14 TEs who had a
breakout season like Witten. |
|
|
|
Tier 2 |
|
|
2 |
Tony Gonzalez |
KCC |
TE |
32 |
12 |
Slightly Better |
80 |
950 |
11.9 |
5 |
205 |
Medium |
Low |
|
|
The Chiefs have an improved offensive line but the concern is Croyle
at QB. Gonzalez had only 31 catches in the 6 games that Croyle
played as opposed to 68 with Huard at QB. |
|
|
|
3 |
Kellen Winslow Jr |
CLE |
TE |
25 |
5 |
Same |
85 |
1000 |
11.8 |
5 |
215 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
Winslow has now played 2 full seasons without missing any time due
to injuries. He benefited from the Cleveland offense but unlikely to
repeat 13.5 YPR, an increase from 9.8 in 2006. |
|
|
|
4 |
Antonio Gates |
SDC |
TE |
28 |
6 |
Same |
70 |
900 |
12.9 |
9 |
214 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
Gates has had over 70 catches, 900 yards and 9 TDs for the past 4
seasons but others are starting to catch up. It now looks like he
could be ready for opening day. |
|
|
|
5 |
Jeremy Shockey |
NOS |
TE |
28 |
7 |
Slightly Worse |
80 |
900 |
11.3 |
7 |
212 |
High |
High |
|
|
The trade to New Orleans puts Shockey in a much better situation and
he could have similar numbers that he had before Coughlin came to
New York: 81 receptions fo 950 yards and 3 touchdowns per 16 games. |
|
|
|
Tier 3 |
|
|
6 |
Owen Daniels |
HOU |
TE |
26 |
3 |
Same |
70 |
800 |
11.4 |
4 |
174 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
Daniels became one of Schaub's favorite targets last season. Daniels
caught 41 of Schaub's 192 completions while only 22 of 154 with
Rosenfels as QB. Should continue to improve in 3rd year. |
|
|
|
7 |
Chris Cooley |
WAS |
TE |
26 |
5 |
Slightly Worse |
65 |
750 |
11.5 |
5 |
170 |
Low |
Low |
|
|
Cooley has been consistent for three seasons but the addition of WRs
Kelly and Thomas and TE Davis are a concern. He is still young but
with so many new weapons his upside is limited. |
|
|
|
8 |
Tony Scheffler |
DEN |
TE |
25 |
3 |
Slightly Better |
65 |
750 |
11.5 |
5 |
170 |
High |
High |
|
|
Scheffler backed up Graham until Week 5 last year so he was the 10th
best TE in the league while playing only 12 games. Scheffler is
behind Nate Jackson at TE, it is a slight concern. |
|
|
|
9 |
Dallas Clark |
IND |
TE |
29 |
6 |
Same |
60 |
650 |
10.8 |
7 |
167 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
17 TEs had over 9 TDs in a season and the average decrease is 35%
for the number of TDs. He has never played all 16 games. He was
averaging 5.2 catches per game before the injuries to the 2 tackles. |
|
|
|
10 |
Todd Heap |
BAL |
TE |
28 |
8 |
Slightly Better |
70 |
750 |
10.7 |
5 |
175 |
Medium |
High |
|
|
Heap has been a top 4 TE for 4 of the last 6 seasons, the other 2 he
was injured and missed most of the year. He is healthy and should be
back to the level he was at previously. |
|
|
|
11 |
Alge Crumpler |
TEN |
TE |
31 |
8 |
Same |
60 |
750 |
12.5 |
4 |
159 |
High |
Medium |
|
|
Crumpler had been a top 5 TE for 4 straight years until the Atlanta
offense fell apart last season. He now becomes the # 1 target in
Tennessee but they struggled in the passing game last season. |
|
|
|
12 |
Vernon Davis |
SFO |
TE |
24 |
3 |
Better |
65 |
700 |
10.8 |
5 |
165 |
High |
High |
|
|
Mike Martz has never used a TE much in his offense but Davis is
expected to play a big role. The WR group is weak and Martz offenses
attempt 550-600 passes in a season, Davis should be targeted often. |
|
|
|
Tier 4 |
|
|
13 |
Zach Miller |
OAK |
TE |
23 |
2 |
Same |
55 |
600 |
10.9 |
5 |
145 |
Medium |
Low |
|
|
See Olsen... Miller showed great promise in his rookie season and
was Russell's favorite target in limited action last year. Russell
targeted Miller on 16 of his 66 passes, he is a very nice sleeper at
TE. |
|
|
|
14 |
Ben Watson |
NEP |
TE |
28 |
5 |
Same |
50 |
600 |
12.0 |
5 |
140 |
High |
High |
|
|
Watson struggled with injuries in the second half of the season. The
departure of Stallworth will make Watson the # 3 target behind Moss
and Welker and he could bounce back, if he stays healthy. |
|
|
|
15 |
Heath Miller |
PIT |
TE |
26 |
4 |
Same |
45 |
550 |
12.2 |
5 |
130 |
Low |
Low |
|
|
He has not missed a game in three years, RB Mendenhall and 6'5" WR
Sweed will likely see a lot of looks in the red zone so Miller's TD
numbers will probably drop. |
|
|
|
16 |
L.J. Smith |
PHI |
TE |
28 |
6 |
Slightly Better |
50 |
550 |
11.0 |
4 |
129 |
High |
High |
|
|
Smith had been a top 10 TE for 2 straight years until last year when
he missed time due to injuries. He is a risk but he was consitent
before his injuries. |
|
|
|
17 |
Greg Olsen |
CHI |
TE |
23 |
2 |
Slightly Better |
50 |
550 |
11.0 |
3 |
123 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
With Berrian and Muhammad gone, someone is going to have to catch
passes in Chicago. 65% of TEs improve in their 2nd season; the
average improvement is 32% for all 2nd year TEs. |
|
|
|
Tier 5 |
|
|
18 |
Marcedes Lewis |
JAC |
TE |
24 |
3 |
Slightly Better |
40 |
450 |
11.3 |
3 |
103 |
Medium |
Low |
|
|
He has never really lived up to expectations but started seeing the
ball a little more later in the year and in the playoffs. |
|
|
|
19 |
Donald Lee |
GBP |
TE |
28 |
6 |
Same |
35 |
450 |
12.9 |
4 |
104 |
High |
High |
|
|
The average decrease is 18% for TEs with 4 to 6 years of experience
who had a breakout season like Lee, only 10 of 28 improved. We're
not sure who Rodgers's favorite targets will be so Lee is a big
risk. |
|
|
|
20 |
Dustin Keller |
NYJ |
TE |
24 |
1 |
Better |
40 |
450 |
11.3 |
2 |
97 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
Since 1983, 13 TEs have been selected between picks 20 and 45 in the
NFL Draft, one was hurt, 5 of the other 12 had over 90 points; 4 of
the 6 drafted since 2003 had over 100. |
|
|
|
21 |
Jeff King |
CAR |
TE |
25 |
3 |
Worse |
40 |
350 |
8.8 |
3 |
93 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
Panthers added Muhammad and Hackett at WR. Only 6 of 14 TEs with
between 80 and 120 fantasy pts and who were limited as rookies
improved in their 3rd year. |
|
|
|
22 |
Randy McMichael |
STL |
TE |
29 |
7 |
Better |
35 |
400 |
11.4 |
2 |
87 |
Medium |
Low |
|
|
He was a top TE with Miami but disappointed last season and does not
look like he is a big part of the Rams offense. |
|
|
|
23 |
Desmond Clark |
CHI |
TE |
31 |
10 |
Slightly Better |
35 |
400 |
11.4 |
3 |
93 |
Low |
Medium |
|
|
His role will diminish as Olsen develops but Chicago is weak at WR
so he may still get some looks. |
|
|
|
24 |
Kevin Boss |
NYG |
TE |
24 |
2 |
Same |
35 |
400 |
11.4 |
2 |
87 |
Medium |
Medium |
|
|
Boss will be the starter in New York and although he had a big game
against the Patriots, he was notmuch of a factor in the post season. |
|
|
|
25 |
Alex Smith |
TBB |
TE |
26 |
4 |
Slightly Better |
30 |
300 |
10.0 |
3 |
78 |
High |
Medium |
|
|
The line is improved and Smith has been consistent for three years
but the addition of Ben Troupe makes him a question mark. |
|
|
Follow
us on Twitter
RSS
Feed