Players in green moved up in the latest rankings and
players in red moved down.
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Offensive Line |
2008 Passing |
2008 Rushing |
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# |
Name |
Team |
Pos |
Age |
Exp |
Pass Blocking |
Yds |
TD |
INT |
Yds |
TD |
FPTS |
Reward |
Risk |
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Tier 1 |
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1 |
Tom Brady |
NEP |
QB |
31 |
9 |
Same |
4300 |
34 |
12 |
100 |
1 |
355 |
High |
Medium |
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10 QBs have had a season of over 350 fantasy pts with passing stats
alone and none managed to do it in two consecutive seasons. The
average decrease in points is 22% and is 25% for QBs with similar
TD/Comp ratios. |
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2 |
Drew
Brees |
NOS |
QB |
29 |
8 |
Slightly Worse |
4300 |
30 |
15 |
50 |
0 |
325 |
Medium |
Low |
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He would have been 2nd best QB if it weren't for his first 4
horrible games, the loss of Faine will hurt slightly in pass
protection but the return of Meachem and addition of Shockey will
help a lot |
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3 |
Peyton Manning |
IND |
QB |
32 |
11 |
Same |
4200 |
30 |
12 |
25 |
2 |
333 |
Medium |
Medium |
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Has been very consistent but the knee injury is a slight concern and
most importantly the injury to Jeff Saturday is a big concern.
Saturday is in charge of making all the adjustments on the Colts
offensive line and had missed only two games in eight seasons. |
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4 |
Tony Romo |
DAL |
QB |
28 |
5 |
Same |
4200 |
30 |
18 |
100 |
1 |
328 |
Medium |
Medium |
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Some may argue that he has not proven enough yet but he's been
consistantly good in his 28 NFL starts. He lacks a #2 WR and Owens
is getting old but he should be solid again this year. |
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Tier 2 |
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5 |
Jay Cutler |
DEN |
QB |
25 |
3 |
Slightly Better |
3700 |
22 |
15 |
200 |
1 |
284 |
High |
Medium |
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Of the 17 2nd or 3rd year QBs that had 200 to 300 fantasy pts in
their 1st yr as full-time starter; 3 decreased by 10+ %, 6 increased
by 10+ %. He did not know he was playing with diabetes last year so
should improve. |
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6 |
David Garrard |
JAC |
QB |
30 |
7 |
Slightly Better |
3500 |
24 |
10 |
250 |
1 |
292 |
Medium |
Medium |
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8
of the 13 QBs who had a breakout season between 27 and 31 yrs old
and remained starter the following year continued to improve. His
line is better and has good depth but Garrard has to show he can
play 16 games. |
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7 |
Donovan
McNabb |
PHI |
QB |
32 |
10 |
Slightly Better |
4100 |
24 |
10 |
200 |
1 |
317 |
Low |
High |
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He is a top 5 QB when healthy but has not played all 16 games since
2003. DeSean Jackson and a healthy L.J. Smith should both help but
make sure you get a very good backup if you draft McNabb. |
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8 |
Derek
Anderson |
CLE |
QB |
25 |
4 |
Same |
3900 |
27 |
20 |
75 |
2 |
303 |
Medium |
High |
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Of the 12 QBs who had a big breakout season in their first 4 NFL
seasons, only 2 had a drop in performance by more than 10%, 3
improved by more than 10%; Stallworth should help. Remember Romo
last year. |
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9 |
Carson Palmer |
CIN |
QB |
29 |
6 |
Same |
3900 |
24 |
17 |
30 |
0 |
277 |
High |
Medium |
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His stats have been slowly decreasing, LT Jones and WR Johnson both
asked for a trade. His pass attempts were higher last year because
of the poor running game. |
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10 |
Brett Favre |
NYJ |
QB |
39 |
18 |
Better |
3600 |
24 |
18 |
25 |
0 |
261 |
High |
Low |
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We don't want to get too excited just yet about this offense but
when you add three Pro Bowlers to an aleady decent offense it is
never a bad thing. |
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11 |
Matt Schaub |
HOU |
QB |
27 |
5 |
Same |
3900 |
21 |
18 |
100 |
0 |
271 |
High |
Medium |
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Schaub battled injuries all season but his stats for the 8 full
games he played would project to 4,200 yards, 18 TDs and 14 INTs
over 16 games. The running game will be better, expect big things
but he is an injury risk. |
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12 |
Ben Roethlisberger |
PIT |
QB |
26 |
5 |
Same |
3600 |
26 |
14 |
125 |
2 |
295 |
Medium |
High |
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He has shown consistent improvement but has never played 16 games in
a season and could lose some TDs to Mendenhall in the red zone. |
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Tier 3 |
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13 |
Aaron Rodgers |
GBP |
QB |
25 |
4 |
Same |
3700 |
24 |
19 |
150 |
1 |
283 |
High |
High |
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Rodgers has struggled in pre-season which is not a huge surprise
considering all the controvery. However, our initial concern that he
has to learn to get rid of the ball quicker with a line that lacks
strength is proving true. |
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14 |
Kurt Warner |
ARI |
QB |
37 |
11 |
Same |
4200 |
28 |
22 |
25 |
0 |
303 |
Low |
High |
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Arizona was 5th in passing yards and 4th in passing TDs last year
and Warner was named the starter. Great sleeper for the first few
weeks of the season but Leinart could get his job back later because
he is the future. |
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15 |
Eli Manning |
NYG |
QB |
27 |
5 |
Same |
3500 |
25 |
19 |
50 |
0 |
261 |
Medium |
Low |
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He has been consistent for three straight years, Giants are bringing
everyone back and should have more depth at WR with a healthy Steve
Smith. |
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16 |
Vince Young |
TEN |
QB |
25 |
3 |
Same |
3000 |
14 |
15 |
450 |
4 |
260 |
Medium |
Low |
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Quarterbacks who started most games in their first two seasons tend
to improve in their third season by about 10%. The addition of
Crumpler will be a big help for Young but the line will have to stay
healthy. |
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17 |
Jason Campbell |
WAS |
QB |
27 |
4 |
Slightly Worse |
3400 |
18 |
18 |
250 |
1 |
255 |
High |
Medium |
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There are few QBs who had their first season as a full-time starter
in their 3rd year in the NFL. The line is improved in run blocking
but it is very old. New system with Zorn could be huge for him, lots
of new weapons. |
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18 |
Marc
Bulger |
STL |
QB |
31 |
7 |
Better |
3800 |
21 |
14 |
50 |
0 |
265 |
High |
High |
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The average improvement for QBs who had a big decrease in
performance like Bulger is 11% in the next season. The line will be
better than last year but Bulger has played 16 games only once in 6
seasons. |
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19 |
Matt
Hasselbeck |
SEA |
QB |
33 |
10 |
Same |
3600 |
25 |
15 |
100 |
0 |
275 |
Medium |
High |
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He attempted 50 passes more than his previous high in 2003 because
of the absence of the running game. Has barely practiced in the past
few weeks because his back is tightening up, this is a concern for
the 33 year old. |
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Tier 4 |
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|
20 |
Jeff Garcia |
TBB |
QB |
38 |
10 |
Slightly Better |
3600 |
18 |
9 |
150 |
1 |
264 |
Medium |
High |
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He was very impressive last season and Tampa Bay will have a much
improved line this season. He is 38 years old however so is
susceptible to injuries but could surprise if he stays healthy. |
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21 |
Tarvaris Jackson |
MIN |
QB |
25 |
3 |
Same |
3200 |
17 |
17 |
400 |
2 |
263 |
Medium |
High |
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He should improve in his 3rd NFL season and Berrian will help him
but his job is not the most secure. His last 7 games would project
to 270 fantasy points over a 16 games season. |
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22 |
Philip Rivers |
SDC |
QB |
27 |
5 |
Same |
3100 |
23 |
14 |
40 |
0 |
237 |
Medium |
Low |
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Most QBs his age stay about the same in terms of performance, only
Brett Favre had a big breakout season in his 3rd year as starter.
WRs are still weak, Rivers did not improve much even after Chambers
arrived. |
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23 |
Jake Delhomme |
CAR |
QB |
33 |
10 |
Worse |
3200 |
22 |
15 |
50 |
1 |
244 |
Medium |
Medium |
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He should be healthy and will have a lot of weapons but the line is
quite weak in pass protection and he will see a lot of pressure. |
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24 |
Jon Kitna |
DET |
QB |
36 |
12 |
Same |
3600 |
18 |
16 |
75 |
0 |
244 |
Medium |
Medium |
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Mike Martz is no longer the offensive coordinator but Kitna still
has some very good WRs. As long as he remains starter he is a good
pick but he has gotten sacked a lot and is getting older. |
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25 |
Chad Pennington |
MIA |
QB |
27 |
2 |
Same |
3600 |
15 |
15 |
100 |
1 |
241 |
Medium |
Medium |
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Pennington will start for the Dolphins and he is better than people
give him credit for but his WRs are very weak. |
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Tier 5 |
|
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26 |
Brodie Croyle |
KCC |
QB |
25 |
3 |
Slightly Better |
3200 |
18 |
17 |
50 |
0 |
220 |
Medium |
Low |
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The offensive line is improved in pass protection and the Chiefs
attempted 562 passes last season. He struggled but he's the
unquestionned starter according to Herm Edwards. 5 full games: 858
yards, 5 TD and 4 INT. |
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27 |
Trent Edwards |
BUF |
QB |
25 |
2 |
Same |
3100 |
17 |
16 |
150 |
0 |
222 |
High |
Medium |
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The 11 QBs who had between 100 and 200 fantasy pts per game in their
1st year (Edwards had 162) and over 400 pass attempts in their 2nd
year improved by 35% on average. Line has little depth, WR Hardy
will help. |
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28 |
Chris Redman |
ATL |
QB |
31 |
9 |
Better |
3200 |
18 |
15 |
50 |
0 |
222 |
High |
High |
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Should be the starter in Atlanta but Ryan may take over if he
struggles. Redman was very impressive in 4 of his 5 starts last
year, offensive line is better but it is still weak; loss of
Crumpler will hurt |
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29 |
JaMarcus Russell |
OAK |
QB |
23 |
2 |
Same |
3000 |
16 |
17 |
100 |
1 |
213 |
Medium |
Medium |
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There are 17 QBs who became full-time starter in their 2nd season
(over 350 pass attempts). They averaged 202 pts with passing stats
alone, but only Culpepper in 2000 had more than 250. |
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30 |
Kyle Orton |
CHI |
QB |
26 |
4 |
Slightly Better |
3200 |
16 |
16 |
50 |
0 |
213 |
Medium |
High |
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Orton has been named the starter for week 1, you still shouldn't
draft him though. |
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